Wake Forest and Texas do battle in 2010 NCAA Tournament

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/18/2010 - New Orleans, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The East Region of the 2010 NCAA Tournament features a first-round matchup between the eighth-seeded Texas Longhorns and the ninth-seeded Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

Awaiting the winner of this tilt is a second-round matchup with either top- seeded Kentucky or 16th-seeded East Tennessee State.

Wake Forest is making its 22nd NCAA Tournament appearance and second in a row under third-year head coach Dino Gaudio. The Demon Deacons, who are 27-21 at this event all-time, earned an at-large bid after compiling a 19-10 record through the close of the ACC Tournament. They own six wins over the RPI top-50 teams and certainly have the talent to challenge the Longhorns.

Texas was the nation's top-ranked team for two weeks in January, and the fact that the club fell completely out of the Top-25 in March tells the tale of a rapid decline. The Longhorns, who are 24-9 overall, have lost nine of their last 16 games. They have 28 previous NCAA Tournament appearances to their credit and own a 33-30 record at the event. They were knocked out in the second round a year ago and continue to be led by long-time head coach Rick Barnes.

Wake Forest owns a 3-1 series lead over Texas, and one of those three victories for the Demon Deacons came in the second round of the 1996 NCAA Tournament.

The strength of the Wake Forest team is its play at the defensive end of the court, as it is limiting opponents to 68.4 ppg on 38.3 percent shooting from the field, including 28.9 percent from three-point range. Offensively, the club is generating 73.0 ppg. Al-Farouq Aminu is the top performer for the Demon Deacons with 15.7 ppg and 10.7 rpg, and the Second-Team All-ACC performer is the only player in the conference to average a double-double this year. Aminu also paces the club in blocks (44) and is second in steals (43). The leader in steals is Ishmael Smith with 52, and he is netting 13.3 ppg to complement an impressive total of 173 assists. C.J. Harris rounds out the double-digit scorers with 10.0 ppg for Wake, which is outrebounding foes by 4.5 rpg. Turnovers have been a problem for the Deacs this season, as they have give the ball away approximately 15 times per outing.

The best player on the Texas roster is clearly Damion James, an athletic forward who was recently selected as a First-Team All-Big 12 performer. James has started all 33 games this season and is scoring 18.0 ppg on 50.9 percent shooting from the floor, including 40.2 percent from three-point range. More than just a scorer, he is ripping down 10.4 rpg to go with 54 steals and 39 blocked shots. Avery Bradley provides 11.7 ppg for the 'Horns, and Dexter Pittman adds 10.6 ppg and 5.8 rpg to the mix. Texas is generating 81.2 ppg while limiting opponents to 69.7 ppg on 40.2 percent shooting from the floor. The club is outrebounding opponents by 6.8 rpg, but all of those positive numbers were considerably more impressive at the midway point of the season.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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